{"id":13184,"date":"2026-08-31T11:46:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T08:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/?p=13184"},"modified":"2026-08-31T11:58:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T08:58:09","slug":"31-agustos-4-eylul-2026-haftalik-risk-takvimi-tsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/?p=13184","title":{"rendered":"31 A\u011eUSTOS \u2013 4 EYL\u00dcL 2026 | HAFTALIK R\u0130SK TAKV\u0130M\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Haftan\u0131n ana temas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">16 Eyl\u00fcl FOMC karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki son b\u00fcy\u00fck veri penceresi. Hafta, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc A\u011fustos NFP raporunda noktalan\u0131yor \u2014 ancak oraya varmadan \u00f6nce ISM \u0130malat, JOLTS, ADP ve Challenger i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma verileri art arda gelerek piyasay\u0131 NFP&#8217;ye \u00f6nceden konumland\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu dizilim genelde s\u00fcrpriz riskini azalt\u0131r: Piyasa Cuma&#8217;ya kadar zaten bir tahmin olu\u015fturmu\u015f oluyor. Ayn\u0131 hafta BoC ve RBNZ ayn\u0131 seansta karar a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor \u2014 CAD ve NZD bu ikilinin g\u00f6reli tonuna g\u00f6re hareket edecek. Fed yetkilisi Waller&#8217;\u0131n Per\u015fembe konu\u015fmas\u0131, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evelemesindeki ge\u00e7mi\u015f tutumu nedeniyle NFP \u00f6ncesinde ayr\u0131ca izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83d\udcc5 <strong>Ekonomik takvim <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sal\u0131 \u2013 1 Eyl\u00fcl<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>17:00 TS\u0130 \u2014 ISM \u0130malat PMI, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>17:00 TS\u0130 \u2014 JOLTS (A\u00e7\u0131k \u0130\u015f \u0130lanlar\u0131), Temmuz 2026<\/strong> Ay ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131n klasik ikilisi. \u0130malat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn daralma\/geni\u015fleme s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda seyri ve a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim, Cuma&#8217;n\u0131n NFP beklentisi i\u00e7in piyasan\u0131n ilk ciddi referans noktas\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u00c7ar\u015famba \u2013 2 Eyl\u00fcl<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>17:15 TS\u0130 \u2014 ADP \u0130stihdam Raporu, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> NFP&#8217;den iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce gelen \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 \u00f6n g\u00f6stergesi \u2014 piyasan\u0131n Cuma&#8217;ya girmeden son b\u00fcy\u00fck referans\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udde8\ud83c\udde6 <strong>16:45 TS\u0130 \u2014 BoC Faiz Karar\u0131<\/strong> \ud83c\uddf3\ud83c\uddff <strong>04:00 TS\u0130 \u2014 RBNZ Faiz Karar\u0131<\/strong> Ayn\u0131 seansta iki merkez bankas\u0131. Piyasa geleneksel olarak ikisinin g\u00f6reli tonunu fiyatlar; ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bas\u0131n toplant\u0131lar\u0131 ilk hamleyi tersine \u00e7evirmi\u015fti \u2014 CAD ve NZD i\u00e7in whipsaw riski y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Per\u015fembe \u2013 3 Eyl\u00fcl<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>15:30 TS\u0130 \u2014 Challenger \u0130\u015ften \u00c7\u0131karma Raporu, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>15:30 TS\u0130 \u2014 Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131<\/strong> \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>17:00 TS\u0130 \u2014 ISM Hizmetler PMI, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> \u00dc\u00e7\u00fc ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn, NFP&#8217;nin bir g\u00fcn \u00f6ncesi. Challenger raporu \u015firket bazl\u0131 i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma duyurular\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor \u2014 A\u011fustos NFP&#8217;sinin alt\u0131n\u0131 oyabilecek erken sinyal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde \u2014 Fed Guvern\u00f6r\u00fc Christopher Waller Konu\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong> \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evelemesine dair ge\u00e7mi\u015f tutumu nedeniyle NFP arifesinde \u00f6zellikle takip edilecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cuma \u2013 4 Eyl\u00fcl<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>15:30 TS\u0130 \u2014 NFP (Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam), \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 ve Ortalama Saatlik Kazan\u00e7, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\udde6 <strong>15:30 TS\u0130 \u2014 Kanada \u0130stihdam Raporu, A\u011fustos 2026<\/strong> Haftan\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lma noktas\u0131 ve 16 Eyl\u00fcl FOMC&#8217;a giden yoldaki son b\u00fcy\u00fck istihdam verisi. Temmuz&#8217;un -23 bin \u015fokunun ard\u0131ndan piyasa bu raporu hem trendin devam\u0131 hem de tek seferlik bir sapma olma ihtimali aras\u0131nda okuyacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u26a1 <strong>Kripto &amp; Piyasa Riskleri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ISM + JOLTS (Sal\u0131 17:00):<\/strong> Her ikisi zay\u0131f gelirse &#8220;i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ger\u00e7ekten yava\u015fl\u0131yor&#8221; anlat\u0131s\u0131 NFP \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fc\u00e7lenir, Eyl\u00fcl hold beklentisi peki\u015fir \u2014 risk varl\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in destekleyici zemin. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc okuma ise piyasay\u0131 NFP&#8217;ye daha temkinli sokar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ADP + BoC\/RBNZ (\u00c7ar\u015famba):<\/strong> ADP&#8217;nin NFP tahminiyle uyumlu ya da ondan sapan bir rakam vermesi Per\u015fembe-Cuma pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendirir. BoC-RBNZ ikilisinin ayn\u0131 seansta \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 CAD\/NZD \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda ani hareket riski ta\u015f\u0131r \u2014 bu volatilite dolar endeksi \u00fczerinden dolayl\u0131 olarak kripto fiyatlamas\u0131na s\u0131zabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>NFP (Cuma 15:30):<\/strong> G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc rakam + y\u00fcksek \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u2192 Eyl\u00fcl hold beklentisi zay\u0131flar, dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenir, kripto kald\u0131ra\u00e7 bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131na girer. Zay\u0131f rakam (Temmuz&#8217;un devam\u0131 niteli\u011finde) \u2192 hold beklentisi kesinle\u015fir, risk-on ortam\u0131 derinle\u015febilir. Haftan\u0131n \u00f6nceki verileri (ISM, JOLTS, ADP, Challenger) zaten piyasay\u0131 \u00f6nceden konumland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, NFP&#8217;nin &#8220;d\u00fcz bir tabandan s\u00fcrpriz yapmas\u0131&#8221; ihtimali bu hafta g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u2014 ancak beklentiyle uyumsuz bir sonu\u00e7 yine de sert tepki yaratabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83c\udfaf Haftan\u0131n ana temas\u0131 16 Eyl\u00fcl FOMC karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki son b\u00fcy\u00fck veri penceresi. Hafta, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc A\u011fustos NFP raporunda noktalan\u0131yor<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[1937],"class_list":["post-13184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-raporlar","tag-ekonomik-takvim"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13184","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13184"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13184\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13188,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13184\/revisions\/13188"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13184"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13184"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13184"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}