UBS, Fed’in Eyl\u00fcl ve Aral\u0131k’ta Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Yapmas\u0131n\u0131 Bekliyor, \u00d6nceki De\u011fi\u015fmez Tahmine Kar\u015f\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UBS, Fed faiz tahmini de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yapt\u0131. Ba\u015f ABD ekonomisti Jonathan Pingle, Fed’in 16 Eyl\u00fcl’de faizleri 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan 9 Aral\u0131k’ta %4,00-4,25’e yeniden art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Jonathan’\u0131n her iki toplant\u0131da da de\u011fi\u015fmez olan tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi karar\u0131, hem Warsh Ba\u015fkan\u0131’n\u0131n Jackson Hole konu\u015fmas\u0131 hem de ge\u00e7en Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 162 bin istihdam raporuyla ilgili. Jonathan, bu Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak A\u011fustos T\u00dcFE’sine \u00e7ok \u015feyin ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Ayr\u0131ca Warsh’\u0131n reaksiyon fonksiyonu hakk\u0131ndaki bilginin evrilmeye devam etti\u011fini de not ediyor.<\/p>\n
\ud83d\udca1 Bilgi Notu:<\/strong> \u201cBaz puan\u201d faiz oran\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimi anlat\u0131r; 25 baz puan, faizin 0,25 puan artmas\u0131 demektir. \u201cReaksiyon fonksiyonu\u201d ise merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n gelen veriler ve geli\u015fmeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda faizi hangi durumda nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fini anlatan karar yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p> \ud83d\udcca Piyasa Etkisi:<\/strong> Bu t\u00fcr bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi genelde dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, tahvil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve riskli varl\u0131klarda temkinli seyre yol a\u00e7abilir. Ancak etkisinin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, \u00f6zellikle a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dcFE verisinin beklentileri nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" UBS, Fed’in Eyl\u00fcl ve Aral\u0131k’ta Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Yapmas\u0131n\u0131 Bekliyor, \u00d6nceki De\u011fi\u015fmez Tahmine Kar\u015f\u0131 UBS, Fed faiz tahmini de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yapt\u0131. Ba\u015f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","fxk_merge_backup":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-15625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-son-dakikalar","tag-fed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15625"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15629,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15625\/revisions\/15629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}