Reuters’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, JP Morgan, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez petrol i\u00e7in net bir temel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Brent petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn adil de\u011ferini 90 dolar civar\u0131nda, fiyatlar\u0131 ise 106 dolar civar\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; dizel fiyatlar\u0131 rekor seviyede, benzin fiyatlar\u0131 ise k\u0131\u015fa girerken y\u00fcksek seviyelerde seyrediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
JP Morgan’\u0131n kendi verileri, piyasan\u0131n bankan\u0131n adil de\u011fer modelinin hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011finden \u00e7ok daha fazla risk fiyatland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; Brent petrol\u00fc Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 i\u00e7in tahmini adil de\u011feri yakla\u015f\u0131k 90 dolar iken 106 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131k 16 dolarl\u0131k fark, bankan\u0131n h\u0131zla kapanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fi bir yanl\u0131\u015f fiyatland\u0131rmadan ziyade, piyasan\u0131n sava\u015f nedeniyle zaten aksayan tahmini 10 milyon varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck arz kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde daha fazla arz kayb\u0131 riskine ili\u015fkin kendi de\u011ferlendirmesini yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
K\u0131\u015f talebinin zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde rekor seviyedeki dizel fiyatlar\u0131 ve \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelere yak\u0131n benzin fiyatlar\u0131, rafine \u00fcr\u00fcn piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ham petrolden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu dinamik, stoklar daha da azal\u0131rken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. JP Morgan’\u0131n y\u00f6nsel bir \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131dan ziyade ger\u00e7ek bir model belirsizli\u011fine i\u015faret etmesi, notun herhangi bir y\u00f6nde bir i\u015flem tavsiyesi olarak de\u011fil, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere kar\u015f\u0131 korunmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme sinyali olarak okunmas\u0131 muhtemeldir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
JP Morgan, \u0130ran petrol krizinin nas\u0131l sona erece\u011fini art\u0131k modelleyemedi\u011fini kabul etti. Bu t\u00fcr bir itiraf, \u00f6zellikle JP Morgan’dan gelmesi nedeniyle ayr\u0131 bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Kendi modelleri yetersiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f uzmanlardan yararlanabilecek analitik kaynaklara sahip bir banka olan JP Morgan’\u0131n, alt\u0131 ayl\u0131k bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan olas\u0131 bir sonu haritaland\u0131ramad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00f6ylemesi, bankalar\u0131n genellikle dalgal\u0131 piyasalarda bile sergiledi\u011fi kendinden emin kurumsal g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerinden dikkat \u00e7ekici bir sapmad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\ud83d\udca1 Bilgi Notu:<\/strong> \u201cAdil de\u011fer\u201d, bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n modellerle hesaplanan makul fiyat\u0131n\u0131 anlat\u0131r; piyasan\u0131n o varl\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6re pahal\u0131 m\u0131 ucuz mu i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc anlamaya yarar. \u201cRafine \u00fcr\u00fcn\u201d ise ham petrolden \u00fcretilen benzin ve dizel gibi petrol t\u00fcrevlerini ifade eder.<\/p> \ud83d\udcca Piyasa Etkisi:<\/strong> Petrol arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi i\u00e7in fiyatlarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Bu durum enerji hisselerini destekleyebilirken, akaryak\u0131t ve ta\u015f\u0131ma maliyetleri \u00fczerinden enflasyon beklentilerini de canl\u0131 tutabilir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Reuters’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, JP Morgan, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez petrol i\u00e7in net bir temel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","fxk_merge_backup":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[38],"class_list":["post-19847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-son-dakikalar","tag-petrol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19847"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19847\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19871,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19847\/revisions\/19871"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}