Bug\u00fcn SpaceX halka arz\u0131 t\u00fcm ilgiyi \u00fczerine \u00e7ekti\u011fi ve \u0130ran konusunda netlik bekledi\u011fimiz i\u00e7in alt\u0131n pek dikkat \u00e7ekmiyor, ancak bence bu son geli\u015fmeler ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalar a\u00e7\u0131k bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En b\u00fcy\u00fck tetikleyici unsur, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131’n\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f bir sava\u015fa girmeye ve bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te m\u00fcttefiklerini yabanc\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu karma\u015f\u0131k bir d\u00fcnyada, rezerv y\u00f6neticilerinin varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda para birimini korumak amac\u0131yla 120 milyar dolarl\u0131k alt\u0131n satmak zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O andan itibaren, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 150 dolara y\u00fckselmesinin di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin rezervlerini tasfiye etmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 korkusuyla alt\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetti. Sava\u015f tehdidi ortadan kalkarsa, rezerv y\u00f6neticilerinin alt\u0131n varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden olu\u015fturdu\u011funu veya art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeliyiz. Olumsuz taraf\u0131 ise, bu olay petrol\u00fcn bir\u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131ndan daha de\u011ferli oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131. Bu nedenle, \u00fclkeler alt\u0131n rezervi biriktirmek yerine petrol stoklamay\u0131 tercih edebilirler. Hatta bunun ak\u0131ll\u0131ca oldu\u011funu bile savunabilirim (ancak lojistik a\u00e7\u0131dan kesinlikle daha zorlay\u0131c\u0131).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bir\u00e7ok \u015fey, anla\u015fman\u0131n i\u00e7eri\u011fine ve gelecekte ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olarak bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ne kadar adaletsiz olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
K\u0131sa vadede teknik g\u00f6stergeleri de takip etmek gerekiyor. Alt\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyrediyor, 18 dolar art\u0131\u015fla 4231 dolara y\u00fckseldi ancak hen\u00fcz “bar\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131” en y\u00fcksek seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alt\u0131n bu seviyeyi a\u015fabilse bile, en az\u0131ndan bu haftaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc telafi etmesi gerekece\u011fi i\u00e7in i\u015fler yine de kolay olmayacak. Haftal\u0131k bazda sabit kalmas\u0131 ve bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi i\u00e7in 4328 dolara y\u00fckselmesi gerekecek. 4545 dolar\u0131 k\u0131rmadan ger\u00e7ekten y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine girebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum, bu da buradan 300 dolardan fazla bir hareket anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Daha olas\u0131 olan, 4200-4400 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir istikrar sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve oradan bir taban olu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bug\u00fcn agresif bir al\u0131m hareketi g\u00f6rseydik daha iyimser olurdum ama \u015fu ana kadar b\u00f6yle bir durum s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Bug\u00fcn SpaceX halka arz\u0131 t\u00fcm ilgiyi \u00fczerine \u00e7ekti\u011fi ve \u0130ran konusunda netlik bekledi\u011fimiz i\u00e7in alt\u0131n pek dikkat \u00e7ekmiyor, ancak bence<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2543,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[78,104],"class_list":["post-2542","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analizler","tag-altin","tag-xauusd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2542","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2542"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2542\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2544,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2542\/revisions\/2544"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2543"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2542"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2542"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2542"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}