ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (TDI) verisi, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam yaln\u0131zca 29 bin ki\u015fi artt\u0131. Piyasa beklentisi yakla\u015f\u0131k 90 bin seviyesindeydi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ise %4,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Bununla birlikte Temmuz ve A\u011fustos aylar\u0131na ili\u015fkin istihdam rakamlar\u0131 toplam 60 bin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Verinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan $BTC taraf\u0131nda ise ilk tepki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu. Zay\u0131f istihdam verisi, piyasada Fed\u2019in faiz politikas\u0131nda daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ihtimalinin azalabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Nitekim Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re veri sonras\u0131nda piyasalar Ekim ay\u0131ndaki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti ve riskli varl\u0131klarda pozitif fiyatlama g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bitcoin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan burada \u00f6nemli olan nokta, k\u00f6t\u00fc ekonomik verinin neden olumlu kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131. Normal \u015fartlarda istihdam piyasas\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flama ekonominin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan negatif bir geli\u015fme olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Ancak mevcut para politikas\u0131 ortam\u0131nda piyasalar ayn\u0131 veriyi farkl\u0131 bir kanaldan fiyatl\u0131yor. \u0130stihdam\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131, Fed \u00fczerindeki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in Bitcoin gibi riskli varl\u0131klar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan destekleyici bir unsur haline geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ancak Bitcoin\u2019in veri sonras\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015finin tek ba\u015f\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir trend de\u011fi\u015fimi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz erken. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki temel problem yaln\u0131zca istihdam piyasas\u0131 de\u011fil. Enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 hedefin \u00fczerinde seyretmesi ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki hareketlilik, faiz politikas\u0131nda daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n devam etmesine neden olabilir. Reuters da zay\u0131f istihdam verisinin Ekim ay\u0131ndaki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bitcoin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00f6zellikle ABD tahvil faizleri ve dolar endeksinin verece\u011fi tepki kritik olacak. Zay\u0131f TDI verisine ra\u011fmen tahvil faizlerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, Bitcoin \u00fczerindeki pozitif etkinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k faizlerde ve dolar taraf\u0131nda belirgin bir gev\u015feme ya\u015fanmas\u0131, riskli varl\u0131klardaki toparlanmay\u0131 destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla TDI verisinin Bitcoin i\u00e7in verdi\u011fi ilk mesaj pozitif olsa da piyasan\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00f6nemli bir soru var: Fed ger\u00e7ekten daha g\u00fcvercin bir patikaya m\u0131 ilerleyecek, yoksa zay\u0131f istihdam verisine ra\u011fmen y\u00fcksek enflasyon nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 riskini koruyacak m\u0131?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u015eimdilik piyasadaki ilk fiyatlama, zay\u0131f istihdam verisinin Fed\u2019in Ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rma ihtimalini azaltmas\u0131 \u00fczerinden Bitcoin lehine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Ancak BTC\u2019nin bu hareketi kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcremeyece\u011fini belirleyecek olan yaln\u0131zca TDI verisi olmayacak. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde enflasyon verileri, tahvil faizleri, dolar ve Fed \u00fcyelerinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019in y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha fazla \u00f6nem kazanacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00d6zetle, TDI verisi Bitcoin i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadede destekleyici bir geli\u015fme olarak fiyatland\u0131. Ancak piyasan\u0131n verdi\u011fi tepkiyi \u201cekonomi k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti, Bitcoin kesin y\u00fckselir\u201d \u015feklinde okumak do\u011fru olmayacakt\u0131r. As\u0131l belirleyici unsur, zay\u0131flayan istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisi ve bunun tahvil faizleri ile dolar \u00fczerinden Bitcoin\u2019e nas\u0131l yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\ud83d\udca1 Bilgi Notu:<\/strong> Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki i\u015flerin ne kadar artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6nemli bir istihdam g\u00f6stergesidir. Beklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmesi, ekonomide so\u011fuma ve merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 konusunda daha az istekli olabilece\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlan\u0131r.<\/p> \ud83d\udcca Piyasa Etkisi:<\/strong> Veri beklentinin belirgin alt\u0131nda geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in piyasalar bunu faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 olarak fiyatlayabilir. Bu da k\u0131sa vadede dolar ve tahvil faizlerinde gev\u015feme, Bitcoin gibi riskli varl\u0131klarda ise destekleyici bir tepki yaratabilir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (TDI) verisi, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26294,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","fxk_merge_backup":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[23,24],"class_list":["post-26292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kripto-paralar","tag-bitcoin","tag-kripto-para"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26292"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26292\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26299,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26292\/revisions\/26299"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26294"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}