Haftan\u0131n ana temas\u0131: Fed’in Eyl\u00fcl’de faizi 3,75\u20134,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltti\u011fi ve cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (+29 bin, i\u015fsizlik %4,2) zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, hafta boyunca g\u00f6zler Fed toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131nda. Veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 seyrek; piyasa y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak tutanaklardaki faiz patikas\u0131 ve enflasyon dili belirleyecek. Ertesi hafta gelecek ABD enflasyon verisi \u00f6ncesi pozisyonlanma da haftan\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5 Ekim Pazartesi
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 16:45 \u2013 S&P Global ABD Hizmet PMI (Eyl\u00fcl)
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 17:00 \u2013 ISM Hizmet PMI (Eyl\u00fcl); alt kalemlerden fiyatlar ve istihdam \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacak<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6 Ekim Sal\u0131
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 15:30 \u2013 D\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi (A\u011fustos)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
7 Ekim \u00c7ar\u015famba
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 21:00 \u2013 FOMC Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 (15\u201316 Eyl\u00fcl)
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 22:00 \u2013 T\u00fcketici kredisi (A\u011fustos)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
8 Ekim Per\u015fembe
\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfa ECB para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131 \u00f6zeti (Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131); yay\u0131n saati teyit edilemedi\u011fi i\u00e7in yaz\u0131lmad\u0131
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 15:30 \u2013 Haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n
9 Ekim Cuma
\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 17:00 \u2013 Fabrika sipari\u015fleri (A\u011fustos)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
KR\u0130PTO P\u0130YASASINA ETK\u0130 VE HAFTALIK R\u0130SK NOKTALARI<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Haftan\u0131n belirleyici olay\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015famba ak\u015fam\u0131 gelecek FOMC tutanaklar\u0131. Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 oybirli\u011fiyle al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; as\u0131l soru, komitenin bir art\u0131\u015f daha sinyali verdi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentinin tutanaklarda ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu\u011fu. \u015eahin bir ton, dolar ve reel getirileri yukar\u0131 iterek $BTC ve altcoin taraf\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Beklenenden temkinli bir dil ise risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede rahatlat\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zay\u0131f istihdam verisi ile faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 birlikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde piyasa durgunlukla enflasyon aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Pazartesi ISM hizmetler i\u00e7indeki fiyatlar alt kalemi bu nedenle s\u0131radan bir s\u00fcrpriz olmaktan \u00f6te, Fed beklentilerini do\u011frudan oynatabilecek bir veri. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fiyat bile\u015feni faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 sertle\u015ftirir; zay\u0131f istihdam alt kalemi ise tersine \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc zay\u0131f rapordan sonra i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki bozulman\u0131n teyidi ya da tersi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenecek. Ba\u015fvurular\u0131n belirgin y\u00fckselmesi b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015fesini art\u0131r\u0131r. ECB toplant\u0131 \u00f6zeti Avrupa taraf\u0131nda faiz y\u00f6n\u00fcne dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacak; euro \u00fczerinden dolar endeksine gelecek hareket kriptoya dolayl\u0131 yans\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Risk noktalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131 veri yo\u011funlu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fundan likidite ince seyredebilir; \u00e7ar\u015famba 21:00 civar\u0131nda ani oynakl\u0131k ve vadeli i\u015flemlerde tasfiye dalgas\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fcksek. 14 Ekim’de a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen ABD enflasyon verisi bu haftan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kal\u0131yor, ancak hafta sonuna do\u011fru pozisyonlanma ve piyasa kurulumu o veriye g\u00f6re \u015fekillenebilir. Hafta sonu likiditesinin zay\u0131f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle cuma kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 fiyat hareketlerinde sert dalgalanma riski de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli.<\/p>\n\n\n
\ud83d\udca1 Bilgi Notu:<\/strong> \u201cTutanaklar\u201d, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00fcyelerin ne konu\u015ftu\u011funu ve faiz konusunda ne kadar istekli ya da temkinli olduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 notlard\u0131r. Piyasalar bu notlardan, bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa bekle-g\u00f6r yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 m\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n \ud83d\udcca Piyasa Etkisi:<\/strong> Fed tutanaklar\u0131, gelecek faiz yoluna dair ipucu verece\u011fi i\u00e7in haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli fiyatlay\u0131c\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olabilir. Tutanaklar\u0131n daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi dolar ve tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekip kripto ve riskli varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir; daha temkinli bir ton ise rahatlama sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Haftan\u0131n ana temas\u0131: Fed’in Eyl\u00fcl’de faizi 3,75\u20134,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltti\u011fi ve cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (+29 bin, i\u015fsizlik %4,2)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","fxk_merge_backup":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[1937,6450],"class_list":["post-26767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-raporlar","tag-ekonomik-takvim","tag-onemli"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26767"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26767\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26776,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26767\/revisions\/26776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}