ABD ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda be\u011fenilecek \u00e7ok \u015fey var ama bu grafik ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7irkin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ABD’de i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda 0,3 puan daha d\u00fc\u015ferek %61,5’e geriledi ve pandemiyi hari\u00e7 tutarsak, kad\u0131nlar\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne tam olarak kat\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 1976 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bir perspektif sunmak gerekirse, kat\u0131l\u0131m oranlar\u0131 2000’li y\u0131llardaki seviyelerde kalsayd\u0131, ABD’de 15 milyon daha fazla insan \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve \u00fccret kazan\u0131yor olurdu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini ya\u015flanmayla a\u00e7\u0131klayabilirsiniz. Kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131, en verimli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki (25-54 ya\u015f) \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k %84 iken, May\u0131s 2026 itibar\u0131yla 55 ya\u015f ve \u00fcst\u00fc ki\u015filer i\u00e7in sadece %37,1’dir. Bebek patlamas\u0131 ku\u015fa\u011f\u0131 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda 55 ya\u015f\u0131n\u0131, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 65 ya\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131; bu da grafi\u011fin iki kola ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neme neredeyse tam olarak denk geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck nedeni ise, \u00f6nceki nesillerin sahip oldu\u011fu i\u015f deneyimine sahip olmayan 16-24 ya\u015f aras\u0131 gen\u00e7 i\u015f\u00e7ilerdir. Gen\u00e7lerin ve gen\u00e7 yeti\u015fkinlerin i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %66’dan %50’lerin ortalar\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bunun b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131, \u00fcniversiteye kay\u0131tlar\u0131n artmas\u0131 ve diploma enflasyonundan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir k\u0131sm\u0131 – yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,5 puanl\u0131k bir farktan sorumlu olan – 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda en verimli ya\u015ftaki erkeklerin kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n %91,5 iken \u015fu anda %89 civar\u0131nda olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu durumun nedenleri iyi belgelenmi\u015ftir: imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki istihdam \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve \u00c7in \u015foku, daha az e\u011fitimli erkekleri en \u00e7ok etkiledi. Ayr\u0131ca, teknoloji ve kripto para sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki gen\u00e7, zengin kazananlar\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131n\u0131n da bunda bir pay\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dikkat \u00e7ekici bir di\u011fer e\u011filim ise, ABD’de en verimli \u00e7a\u011fdaki kad\u0131nlar\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Pandemiden hemen sonra %78’lik bir zirveye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f olsa da, Kanada’n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 puan gerisinde kalmaktad\u0131r. Genel kan\u0131 bunun y\u00fcksek \u00e7ocuk bak\u0131m maliyetlerinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndedir ve bununla ilgili g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kan\u0131tlar mevcuttur; ancak ABD’deki daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6receli refah seviyesi de \u00fcst orta s\u0131n\u0131f annelerin evde kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0130leriye bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu’nun (BLS) 2034 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar %61,1’e ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmesiyle ekonomi daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fiyor. Bu oran sadece 0,4 puanl\u0131k bir fark ve abart\u0131l\u0131 bir tahmin gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Acaba %5’lik bir art\u0131\u015fa do\u011fru mu gidiyoruz? Bu, her 10 Amerikal\u0131dan 4’\u00fcnden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fsiz oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ABD ekonomisi hakk\u0131nda be\u011fenilecek \u00e7ok \u015fey var ama bu grafik ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7irkin. ABD’de i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda 0,3 puan<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3984,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[183],"class_list":["post-3983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finansal-piyasalar","tag-tarim-disi-istihdam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3983"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3983\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3985,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3983\/revisions\/3985"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxknews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}